Poll shows Warren in lead ahead of Wednesday debate - Western Mass News - WGGB/WSHM

Poll shows Warren in lead ahead of Wednesday debate

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With less than a month to go until the election, the senate race here in Massachusetts continues to heat up.

The latest polls place Democratic candidate Elizabeth Warren slightly ahead of incumbent Scott Brown. But with a debate in Springfield on Wednesday, both candidates will have an important opportunity to reach out to undecided voters.

"In our poll, 14 to 15 percent say they still may change their minds among those who expressed a preference," said the director of the Western New England Polling Institute Tim Vercellotti. "And that number is highest among independents: 22 percent, or one out of five independents who voice support for one of the senate candidates, say they could still change their mind."

The latest poll out of WNEU and our media partners Masslive and the Republican show Warren in the lead, 50 to 45 percent, with the margin of error at 4.7 percent.

"On the surface the race seems pretty stable," Vercellotti said. "But beneath the surface, all sorts of changes are occurring."

Wednesday's debate will be the third one televised between the two candidates.

"The way it is shaping up now, Warren is running up the score among Democrats," Vercellotti said. "And if she continues to do that, it could be enough to put her over the finish line. Brown is building his support among independents. If he continues to do that, he could catch and pass Warren on Election Day."

The latest poll shows that jobs and the economy are the No. 1 concern among voters. And with the race tightening, the numbers show that gender will play a big role in the election.

"We see that Elizabeth Warren's support among women has gone up quite a bit where she has a 26-point lead over Scott Brown among women," Vercellotti said. "Brown in turn has seen his support go up quite a bit among men. He now has an 18-point lead."

The debate on Wednesday will be held at Symphony Hall. The event is sold out, but CBS 3 will be broadcasting it live beginning at 7 p.m.

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