New poll shows Warren with 4-point lead over Brown - Western Mass News - WGGB/WSHM

New poll shows Warren with 4-point lead over Brown

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In a poll released Sunday by Western New England University, in conjunction with CBS 3 media partner Mass Live and The Republican, Elizabeth Warren continues to lead Sen. Scott Brown.

However, the six-point lead Warren had two months ago is down to just four.

But, according to Tim Vercellotti, director of the WNEU polling institute, the challenger made headway with her party.

"Throughout the polls we have done this year, we have seen Scott Brown pick up anywhere from 14 to 18 percent of those Obama supporters," said Vercellotti.  "It is now down to 10 percent, so Elizabeth Warren has made quite a bit of progress convincing voters who are going to vote for President Obama to vote for her as well."

Since Friday, both Warren and Brown have made stops in Western Mass to rally support. Vercellotti said the number of voters who might be influenced by a campaign stop in these last few days are dwindling.

"Ninety percent of the voters who expressed a preference in the Senate race say they are very sure," Vercellotti stated. "That is up from 84 percent a few weeks ago. So the number of persuadable voters out there is getting pretty small."

Vercellotti added that voter turnout could be the key to who wins. He told CBS 3 that historically a higher number of voters has meant good things for Democrats.

"The last presidential election here in Massachusetts, the turnout was 73 percent," said Vercellotti.  "Previous cycles, we have seen turnout as high as 80 percent in Massachusetts.  So it all comes down to who gets their supporters to the polls on Tuesday."

Vercellotti said both Warren and Brown have had plenty of presence on the ground.

A good number of the voters they polled had heard from both parties.

However, with the voters who had only heard from one campaign, Warren outnumbered Brown 2-1.

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