On Thursday, October 5 at 8:15 PM ET, the Washington Commanders will play the Chicago Bears at FedExField. Our computer model projects that the Commanders will earn a victory -- keep scrolling for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

The Commanders sport the 17th-ranked scoring offense this year (22.3 points per game), and they've been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-worst with 30 points allowed per game. The Bears have not been getting things done defensively, ranking fifth-worst with 383.3 total yards allowed per game. They have been better offensively, regstering 305.3 total yards per contest (21st-ranked).

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Commanders vs. Bears Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Commanders (-6) Over (44.5) Commanders 32, Bears 21

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Commanders Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Commanders a 73.3% chance to win.
  • Washington has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Commanders have not covered the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
  • So far this season, two Washington games have hit the over.
  • The over/under in this game is 44.5 points, 3.7 higher than the average total in Commanders games this season.

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Bears Betting Info

  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Bears have a 31.2% chance to win.
  • Chicago has not won against the spread this season in four chances.
  • The Bears have been an underdog by 6 points or more this year once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • This year, games featuring Chicago has hit the over every time.
  • Games involving the Bears this year have averaged 44 points per game, a 0.5-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Commanders vs. Bears 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Washington 22.3 30 11.5 26.5 33 33.5
Chicago 18.8 34.3 24 34.5 13.5 34

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